EUCP

European Climate Prediction system

CoordinatorSTICHTING NETHERLANDS ESCIENCE CENTER ; Edinburgh Napier University ; Koninklijk Nederlands Meterologisch Instituut ; THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD ; IT University of Copenhagen ; Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change ; United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization ; Internationales Institut fur angewandte Systemanalyse ; CNRS - Institut des Sciences Biologiques ; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich ; Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute ; Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Zentrum für Material- und Küstenforschung ; STICHTING DELTARES ; DANMARKS METEOROLOGISKE INSTITUT ; Met Office ; BARCELONA SUPERCOMPUTING CENTER - CENTRO NACIONAL DE SUPERCOMPUTACION
Grant period2017-12-01 - 2022-05-31
Funding bodyEuropean Union
Call numberH2020-SC5-2017-OneStageB
Grant number776613
IdentifierG:(EU-Grant)776613

Note: The European Climate Prediction system project (EUCP) has four objectives, all directly relevant to the work programme, and fully meet the challenge, scope and impact of the work programme. 1. Develop an innovative ensemble climate prediction system based on high-resolution climate models for Europe for the near-term (~1-40years), including improved methods used to characterise uncertainty in climate predictions, regional downscaling, and evaluation against observations. 2. Use the climate prediction system to produce consistent, authoritative and actionable climate information. This information will be co-designed with users to constitute a robust foundation for Europe-wide climate service activities to support climate-related risk assessments and climate change adaptation programmes. 3. Demonstrate the value of this climate prediction system through high impact extreme weather events in the near past and near future drawing on convection permitting regional climate models translated into risk information for, and with, targeted end users. 4. Develop, and publish, methodologies, good practice and guidance for producing and using authoritative climate predictions for 1-40year timescale. The system (objective1) will combine initialised climate predictions on the multi-annual timescale with longer-term climate projections and high resolution regional downscaling, using observations for evaluation. Methodologies will be developed to characterise uncertainty and to seamlessly blend the predictions and projections. Users will be engaged through active user groups. The system will be utilised (objective2) with users to co-produce information suitable for European climate service activities. A set of demonstrators will show the value of this information in real-world applications with user involvement (objective3). Key outputs will include disseminating and publishing the project’s methodologies, and user-relevant data and knowledge (objective4).
     

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 Record created 2017-12-11, last modified 2023-02-14